Trump’s way to the political cemetery
The president shares all the characteristics of the forsaken leaders of history. In the end, he will meet her fate.
Much has been speculated about Trump’s future. His intransigence with regard to election results was largely predicted: the necessary increased use of postal ballot papers and the resulting belated counts provided an irresistible opportunity for synthetic martyrdom. But as with Ms. Clinton’s similar assertion of Russian victimization, such assertions only agree with the truest true believers.
Poor or even good losers usually don’t do well in later elections. Grover Cleveland and Richard Nixon are exceptions, but those cast out include Herbert Hoover, Wendell Willkie, Jimmy Carter, Barry Goldwater, Bob Dole, Michael Dukakis, Walter Mondale, Al Gore, John Kerry, Mitt Romney, and Hillary Clinton. William Jennings Bryan, Thomas E. Dewey and Adlai Stevenson were found to have exhausted their greetings. The British Conservative Party is particularly notorious for quickly beheading unsuccessful leaders.
In Trump’s case, there are additional reasons to believe that he will not succeed as “King Above the Water”. The successes of the Republican Congress were not due to its goals, but partly recovered from positions it lost in 2018 to the party’s classic protest candidate, the causes of which have largely been exhausted. Recession and disease, as well as its rhetoric, have held immigration back; The blossom is from the rose of “neoliberalism” in trade policy. the Supreme Court was tamed; and enthusiasm for regime change wars and the refugees they produce is lower. Martial nationalism, usually the last resort of unscrupulous politicians on the right, is denied him by the large number of disaffected war veterans from Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan and their families in his constituency.
But more importantly, as evidenced by the lack of a Republican platform for 2020, he’s a nihilist at heart. It doesn’t even offer the watered-down Manchester liberalism of Hoover and Taft, slurry in recession years than, as Winston Churchill wrote in a book review by Peter Drucker The end of the business man in May 1939 men are looking for:
“The miraculous intervention of a demigod. Men seek refuge in them, not because they believe in them, but because anything is better than the current chaos … it offers the hero man instead of the economist. From an individual standpoint, having something to die for may be very good, but it is impossible to build a society based on lives to be sacrificed. In this way lies anarchy, and because the organization that the dictators offer ultimately stands for nothing, it will ultimately fail. “
In the final days of Mr. Nixon, Rebecca West published an essay titled “The Plastic Gnomes of Washington” which deciphered the facelessness of Nixon and his aide and predicted that when he was gone he would be just as forgotten like Neville Chamberlain. Chamberlain’s quest for peace, however, resulted in what was one of Churchill’s most eloquent speeches. Pat Moynihan wrote him a letter shortly before Nixon’s resignation, in which he compared the cynicism about institutions of his right-wing aides with that of his left-wing students at Harvard. Nixon had enough distance to describe the letter as “astute”.
In the end, people want a positive vision from their politicians as well as some signs of administrative competence. Protest candidates – Pierre Poujade and George Wallace as examples – exhaust themselves although, as the sociologist and lawyer David Riesman wrote in 1942, “The violence and daring of verbal attacks are very appealing to the imagination of people who lead blandly and fearfully. “Charismatic leaders like those of the Crusades or the Ku Klux Klan after World War I can also fall victim to sexual and financial scandals. If this was the water of Trump’s back, death by a thousand cuts takes its toll.
Ultimately, it is the inner emptiness that condemns Trump’s further ambitions to fail.
George Liebmann is the author of various books on law and politics, including America’s political inventor (Bloomsbury 2019).
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